Wednesday, April 23, 2008

PA results? not so bad really..

First, I have to say that I officially hate CNN. I could barely stand to watch that circus of nitwits last night. Like FOX they are operating at the level of pornographers. My favorite moment is Blitzer lauding the Casey democrats as Hillary's stronghold, only to cut to Bob Casey who just happens to be heading up Obama's campaign efforts in PA! so ridiculous but no surprises either.

Here's the clearest picture on what last night means with a comparison to another rustbelt voting block - OH.

One of the arguments the Clinton campaign is making to the supers, hoping they'll overturn the will of the voters, is that Obama can't win certain demographics. Yet looking at the exit poll numbers, it's clear that Obama has actually been making serious gains the past six weeks.

Obama's percent of the vote:


60 and older 28 38
White 34 38
White men 39 44
White women 31 34
Less than $50K 42 46
No college 40 38
College 51 49
Catholic 36 31
Protestant 36 53

What was a 10.5% win in demographically friendly Ohio has become an 8.6% win in similar Pennsylvania, except the state was even less black and with a much smaller youth voter population (Pennsylvania's seniors accounted for 32 percent of the electorate, compared to 23 percent in Ohio).

And, those gains were made despite the Wright controversy as well as manufactured bullshit about "bitter" and flag pins and whatnot.

On top of that, Obama has had to run against Hillary Clinton, against former President of the United States Bill Clinton, and against John McCain and the entire GOP apparatus, which has trained its guns on Obama hoping to give Clinton a boost.

Yet he continues to gain among most of Clinton's best demographics, is still raising more money, leads comfortably in delegates, leads comfortably in the popular vote, leads in states won, leads in the national polls, and does better in the head-to-head matchups against McCain.

So why should the supers spark an intra-party civil war by overturning the will of the electorate again?

This video is pretty great with regard to the above.

via: Kos and Andrew Sullivan

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